What Is The Greatest Time To Purchase A Home In 2023


What’s the greatest time to purchase a home in 2023

Maybe some of the widespread questions any actual property agent receives is “When is the most effective time of 12 months to purchase a house”? (The opposite query is “What’s a good time to promote my dwelling?”). If dwelling patrons have the selection, they need to attempt to purchase a house on the most opportune time. However WHEN is the suitable time?

There are quite a lot of elements which affect dwelling purchaser’s determination whether or not to purchase a brand new dwelling. Amongst them are:

  • Mortgage Curiosity Charge
  • Housing Costs
  • Financial Outlook

These elements will impact a complete metropolis equally, so why are some seasons busier with purchaser exercise than others? And which is the most effective month to purchase a home?

When everybody else is promoting…..purchase!

A smart man, British Rabbi and thinker Johnathan Sacks, coined the phrase : “When others are promoting, purchase! When others are shopping for, promote!”

The wisest rule in investment is: when others are selling, buy. When others are buying, sell. Usually, of course, we do the opposite. When everyone else is buying, we assume they know something we don't, so we buy. Then people start selling, panic sets in, and we sell too. - Jonathan Sacks

That is very true within the housing market as properly.

In Winnipeg’s actual property market, it’s properly documented that the spring months are probably the most lively for dwelling patrons. That is in fact the most typical time for ‘bidding wars’, and it’s a very good time to promote your home or condo. Home sales and home prices are driven upward by hectic home buyer activity.

Over the summer months, lots of new listings come to the market, and then towards the late summer, early fall time, buyer activity levels off. This often means that unsold homes remain on the market, making the fall time a prime time to buy a home.

Take a look at this chart:

Chart showing the best time to buy a house in 2023

Best Time To Buy A House In Winnipeg

Let’s take a look at the difference between April and October of this past year, 2022.

On April 1st, 2022 we had a total of just 426 houses on the market, compared to a whopping 1336 houses in October.

During the month of April we sold 780 houses, while in October we sold just 579.  So we had 68% FEWER LISTINGS at the same time we had 35% HIGHER SALES.  Not an ideal situation for buyers!!!

The most revealing stat is the ‘Days Of Inventory’.  In April it was 17 days of inventory, but in October that number was nearly 4 times higher…..62 days.

What are ‘Days of Inventory’?

If you ask the question: “How long would it take to sell ALL homes on the market, assuming NO NEW LISTINGS were being added?”  The answer is ‘Days of Inventory’.

Naturally, the higher that number, the better for home buyers (Buyer’s Market). Alternatively, a lower D.O.I. indicates a seller’s market.

Best Time To Buy A House In Winnipeg? best time to buy

Generally speaking, Winnipeg’s real estate market follows a predictable path over the year. Buyer activity picks up in the early spring and runs hot thru the early summer, before pulling back over the late fall and early winter. Fewer people look for homes during the cold Winnipeg winter time.

Listings follow suit, with the number of homes becoming more plentiful over the warmer months, before slowing down over the fall time, with January and February featuring extremely low inventory levels.

House in wintertime

Most buyers avoid looking a homes at this time of year. Which is why YOU should consider buying at this time.

Best Time Of The Year To Buy A Home: Late Summer and Fall

As Mr. Sacks noted: “When others are selling…buy”.  In Winnipeg’s real estate market that means September, October, November and possible early December are the best times to buy a home.

During the late summer and early fall, home buyers will find plenty of inventory, and less competition from other buyers. They have the best chance to complete a home purchase at list price, (asking price), and possibly get the best deal possible for themselves.

I call this the ‘sweet spot’ for buyers. There are plenty of homes available, and buyer activity drops off.

Home in spring and summer

Home buyers love looking at homes in the spring and summer

Least Opportune Time To Buy A Home: Mid Spring to Mid Summer

Maybe it’s our long winter months, but those can only be partially blamed for this phenomenon. Other cities in warmer climates, experience similar situations. Whatever the reason, buyers come out in droves in the spring time, wanting to buy a new home and take possession before the new school year.

Whereas late summer and fall was a sweet spot for buyers, these early spring days are it for home sellers. LOTS of buyer activity, and not a lot of homes for sale (yet).

This of course creates those bidding wars, when multiple potential home buyers bid for the same home. This is especially true in the early spring months, when buyers find fewer homes available. The buyers who tend to win these bidding wars are usually ones who have an extra large down payment and an outstanding credit score. First-time buyers with limited funds are in for a tough fight at this time.

Whether you are a buyer or a seller, it’s a good idea to consult real estate professionals about the market activity in your area. They have the tools and data to talk to you about home values, house prices and your local market conditions.

 



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Bo Kauffmann
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